Persepolis 2-0 Shams Azar Qazvin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.45
Draw
30%
3.94
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.67
Over 2.5
30%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.4
No
65%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
43%
2.67
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.39
6+ Goals
6%
22.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.67 — our 43% vs market 31.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
65%
-12.2pp
30%
Draw
22%
+8.0pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.0pp
70%
Under 2.5
56%
+13.8pp
30%
Over 2.5
44%
-13.8pp
35%
BTTS Yes
38%
-2.7pp
65%
BTTS No
62%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persepolis EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Shams Azar Qazvin EU Bookmakers 16%
+10% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.66/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.80
+5% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +136% / -17%
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
399 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persepolis
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Shams Azar Qazvin
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
28.05.2024 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 1-3 HT 0-1 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
24.12.2023 Persepolis Persepolis 2-1 HT 1-0 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin IRAN
POST-MATCH Persepolis vs Shams Azar Qazvin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persepolis got the better of Shams Azar Qazvin 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Persepolis as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Persepolis had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Persepolis and 1.00 for Shams Azar Qazvin.

What was the final score of Persepolis vs Shams Azar Qazvin?

Persepolis 2-0 Shams Azar Qazvin in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persepolis vs Shams Azar Qazvin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persepolis win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Persepolis 53%, draw 30%, Shams Azar Qazvin 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persepolis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Persepolis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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