Fujieda MYFC 2-3 JEF United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.65
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
48%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.66
No
56%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.61
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
21%
2.87
6+ Goals
7%
8.13
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.61 — our 31% vs market 16.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
5%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
18%
+6.4pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.2pp
48%
Away Win
60%
-11.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.5pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fujieda MYFC EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY JEF United EU Bookmakers 64%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.85/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.84
-13% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -5%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 439 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses 17.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fujieda MYFC
1W-0D-2L
AWAY JEF United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 12
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
02.03.2024 JEF United JEF United 4-0 HT 2-0 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP2
19.08.2023 JEF United JEF United 3-2 HT 3-0 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP2
12.04.2023 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 3-1 HT 2-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fujieda MYFC
2-3
AWAY JEF United
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 26
6 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 7
244 Passes 320
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
7 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fujieda MYFC vs JEF United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United nicked a narrow win over Fujieda MYFC 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had JEF United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fujieda MYFC had 45% of the ball to JEF United's 55%, shots finished 14-26.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, JEF United led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Fujieda MYFC and 2.67 for JEF United.

What was the final score of Fujieda MYFC vs JEF United?

Fujieda MYFC 2-3 JEF United in the Japan - J2 League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fujieda MYFC vs JEF United?

Before kick-off our model rated an JEF United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fujieda MYFC 25%, draw 27%, JEF United 48%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JEF United) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (JEF United) ✗ BTTS No
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