Kariobangi Sharks 1-1 Shabana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.51
Over 2.5
32%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.09
No
64%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+2.5pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.6pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.2pp
68%
Under 2.5
62%
+5.2pp
32%
Over 2.5
38%
-5.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
44%
-7.6pp
64%
BTTS No
56%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kariobangi Sharks EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Shabana EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.49
+50% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -62%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
297 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kariobangi Sharks
1-1
AWAY Shabana
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Kariobangi Sharks vs Shabana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kariobangi Sharks and Shabana couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kariobangi Sharks at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.

On the day, Kariobangi Sharks had 50% of the ball to Shabana's 50%.

What was the final score of Kariobangi Sharks vs Shabana?

Kariobangi Sharks 1-1 Shabana in the Kenya - Premier League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kariobangi Sharks vs Shabana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kariobangi Sharks win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kariobangi Sharks 42%, draw 27%, Shabana 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kariobangi Sharks), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kariobangi Sharks) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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