Mathare United 2-0 Talanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.5pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.5pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-3.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mathare United EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Talanta EU Bookmakers 46%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.71/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/1.93
-2% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -55%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
273 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mathare United
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Talanta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
05.02.2022 Talanta 0-2 HT 0-2 Mathare United Mathare United KEN2
04.12.2021 Mathare United Mathare United 0-2 HT 0-1 Talanta KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mathare United
2-0
AWAY Talanta
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mathare United vs Talanta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mathare United beat Talanta 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 31% / 38% — and on the day Mathare United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Mathare United had 53% of the ball to Talanta's 47%, shots finished 10-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mathare United and 1.00 for Talanta.

What was the final score of Mathare United vs Talanta?

Mathare United 2-0 Talanta in the Kenya - Premier League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mathare United vs Talanta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Talanta win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mathare United 31%, draw 31%, Talanta 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Talanta) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Talanta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KEN More Kenya - Premier League
26 Oct 2024
15:00 KCB Nairobi vs Tusker Analysis →
16:00 Kariobangi Sharks vs Shabana Analysis →