Puebla vs Guadalajara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Puebla v Guadalajara — Team-Based Signals
Puebla vs Guadalajara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Guadalajara
MEK
1-0
HT 1-0
Guadalajara
MEK
1-1
HT 0-0
Guadalajara
MEK
1-0
HT 0-0
Puebla
MEK
2-3
HT 2-0
Puebla
MEK
Puebla 1-0 Guadalajara — Actual Match Statistics
Puebla squeezed past Guadalajara 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Puebla made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Puebla had 30% of the ball to Guadalajara's 70%, shots finished 11-23, expected goals 1.38 to 1.18.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Puebla and 1.50 for Guadalajara.
What was the final score of Puebla vs Guadalajara?
Puebla 1-0 Guadalajara in the Mexico - Primera on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Puebla vs Guadalajara?
Before kick-off our model rated an Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Puebla 33%, draw 27%, Guadalajara 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Guadalajara) went the other way.