Floriana 3-0 Balzan FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.47
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.91
Over
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
42%
4-5
17%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
64%
-17.9pp
29%
Draw
21%
+8.0pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+9.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.1pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Floriana The Market 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Balzan FC The Market 18%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.36/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.13
-9% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
400 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Floriana
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Balzan FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.02.2024 Floriana Floriana 2-2 HT 2-1 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
01.10.2023 Balzan FC Balzan FC 0-3 HT 0-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
05.03.2023 Balzan FC Balzan FC 3-1 HT 3-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
23.10.2022 Floriana Floriana 0-0 HT 0-0 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
06.02.2022 Floriana Floriana 2-1 HT 1-0 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
16.10.2021 Balzan FC Balzan FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Floriana Floriana MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Floriana
3-0
AWAY Balzan FC
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Floriana vs Balzan FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floriana swept aside Balzan FC 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Floriana as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Floriana had 51% of the ball to Balzan FC's 49%, shots finished 8-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Floriana had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Floriana and 1.17 for Balzan FC.

What was the final score of Floriana vs Balzan FC?

Floriana 3-0 Balzan FC in the Malta - Premier League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Floriana vs Balzan FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Floriana 46%, draw 29%, Balzan FC 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Floriana), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Floriana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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