Stromsgodset 2-0 Fredrikstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 26 Oct 2024

Stromsgodset
2-0 HT 1-0
Fredrikstad
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Stromsgodset vs Fredrikstad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.82
Over 2.5
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.65
6+ Goals
12%
15.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.7
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
12%
5.5
X/2
12%
5.61
X/X
12%
4.44
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
29.0
2/2
16%
3.81
2/X
6%
12.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.0 — our 7% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+4.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.1pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stromsgodset v Fredrikstad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stromsgodset EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 39%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +28%
1.86/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/0.95
-1% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
22.5 Crosses 15.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 0.8

Stromsgodset vs Fredrikstad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stromsgodset
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Fredrikstad
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.08 xG 2.90
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
344 Passes 320
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 34
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.05.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 4-1 HT 3-1 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
27.07.2012 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 5-0 HT 1-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
19.05.2012 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 2-3 HT 0-2 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
28.08.2011 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-1 HT 1-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
28.05.2011 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-0 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
20.09.2009 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 4-1 HT 2-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR

Stromsgodset 2-0 Fredrikstad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stromsgodset
2-0
AWAY Fredrikstad
2.06 xG 1.48
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
388 Passes 463
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 29
13 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Stromsgodset vs Fredrikstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stromsgodset got the better of Fredrikstad 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stromsgodset as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stromsgodset had 46% of the ball to Fredrikstad's 54%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 2.06 to 1.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stromsgodset had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Stromsgodset and 1.33 for Fredrikstad.

What was the final score of Stromsgodset vs Fredrikstad?

Stromsgodset 2-0 Fredrikstad in the Norway - Eliteserien on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stromsgodset vs Fredrikstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stromsgodset win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Stromsgodset 42%, draw 25%, Fredrikstad 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stromsgodset) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stromsgodset) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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