Fredrikstad 4-1 Stromsgodset — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.8
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.16
6+ Goals
12%
20.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.1
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
17%
4.66
X/2
14%
6.5
X/X
12%
4.17
2/1
10%
28.5
2/2
11%
4.96
2/X
10%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-3.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.7pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Stromsgodset EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
2.77/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.29
+0% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
36.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
31.0 Crosses 18.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fredrikstad
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Stromsgodset
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
2 Corners 6
27.07.2012 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 5-0 HT 1-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
19.05.2012 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 2-3 HT 0-2 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
28.08.2011 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-1 HT 1-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
28.05.2011 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-0 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
20.09.2009 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 4-1 HT 2-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
22.03.2009 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 2-0 HT 1-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fredrikstad
4-1
AWAY Stromsgodset
2.90 xG 1.08
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
320 Passes 344
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
34 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fredrikstad vs Stromsgodset
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fredrikstad swept aside Stromsgodset 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Fredrikstad made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Fredrikstad had 48% of the ball to Stromsgodset's 52%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 2.90 to 1.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stromsgodset led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fredrikstad and 2.33 for Stromsgodset.

What was the final score of Fredrikstad vs Stromsgodset?

Fredrikstad 4-1 Stromsgodset in the Norway - Eliteserien on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fredrikstad vs Stromsgodset?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fredrikstad win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fredrikstad 39%, draw 28%, Stromsgodset 32%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fredrikstad), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fredrikstad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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