Viking 1-4 Lilleström — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 16 May 2024

Viking
1-4 HT 0-3
Lilleström
📅16/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Viking vs Lilleström Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.91
2-3 Goals
35%
2.06
4-5 Goals
28%
2.59
6+ Goals
14%
5.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.35
1/2
9%
32.5
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
14%
4.69
X/2
9%
8.4
X/X
13%
6.28
2/1
8%
20.0
2/2
10%
5.21
2/X
4%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.8pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Viking v Lilleström — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viking EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Lilleström EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -14%
1.31/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.34
+1% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
22.1 Crosses 20.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7

Viking vs Lilleström Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viking
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Lilleström
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.56 xG 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 Passes 319
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.08.2023 Lilleström Lilleström 1-3 HT 0-0 Viking Viking NOR
15.04.2023 Viking Viking 2-0 HT 0-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
09.10.2022 Viking Viking 0-3 HT 0-1 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
10.07.2022 Lilleström Lilleström 0-1 HT 0-0 Viking Viking NOR
23.10.2021 Viking Viking 5-1 HT 1-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
24.05.2021 Lilleström Lilleström 1-3 HT 0-2 Viking Viking NOR

Viking 1-4 Lilleström — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viking
1-4
AWAY Lilleström
2.60 xG 2.85
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 5
368 Passes 261
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
40 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Viking vs Lilleström
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lilleström cruised past Viking 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Viking at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Viking had 58% of the ball to Lilleström's 42%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 2.60 to 2.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viking had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Viking and 1.00 for Lilleström.

What was the final score of Viking vs Lilleström?

Viking 1-4 Lilleström in the Norway - Eliteserien on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viking vs Lilleström?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viking win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Viking 48%, draw 25%, Lilleström 28%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Viking) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Viking) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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