Rosenborg 1-3 KFUM Oslo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.76
No
60%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.37
6+ Goals
9%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 25% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
2.2
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.35
X/1
14%
4.03
X/2
8%
9.56
X/X
11%
5.09
2/1
8%
23.15
2/2
7%
7.32
2/X
6%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
54%
+3.9pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.0pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
53%
-13.2pp
60%
BTTS No
47%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY KFUM Oslo EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
1.62/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.57
+7% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
20.6 Crosses 4.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosenborg
1-3
AWAY KFUM Oslo
0.56 xG 1.81
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
437 Passes 264
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rosenborg vs KFUM Oslo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KFUM Oslo saw off Rosenborg 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Rosenborg at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rosenborg had 60% of the ball to KFUM Oslo's 40%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.56 to 1.81.

What was the final score of Rosenborg vs KFUM Oslo?

Rosenborg 1-3 KFUM Oslo in the Norway - Eliteserien on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosenborg vs KFUM Oslo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosenborg win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Rosenborg 58%, draw 21%, KFUM Oslo 20%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rosenborg) ✗ BTTS No
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