Sarpsborg 08 1-7 HamKam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 16 May 2024

Sarpsborg 08
1-7 HT 0-5
HamKam
📅16/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Sarpsborg 08 vs HamKam Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.15
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
9.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.43
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
17%
4.36
X/2
9%
7.99
X/X
11%
5.52
2/1
7%
21.85
2/2
11%
5.61
2/X
6%
14.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 7% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-1.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.9pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sarpsborg 08 v HamKam — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarpsborg 08 EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY HamKam EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.55/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.36
-13% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
410 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
22.8 Crosses 20.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7

Sarpsborg 08 vs HamKam Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sarpsborg 08
1W-2D-3L
AWAY HamKam
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.50 xG 1.64
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
427 Passes 206
85% Pass Accuracy 67%
32 Box Touches 25
42 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.03.2024 HamKam HamKam 0-0 HT 0-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 HAZ
24.09.2023 HamKam HamKam 1-1 HT 0-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
16.07.2023 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 2-3 HT 2-3 HamKam HamKam NOR
04.09.2022 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 2-1 HT 0-1 HamKam HamKam NOR
26.06.2022 HamKam HamKam 3-2 HT 2-2 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
10.05.2018 HamKam HamKam 1-0 HT 0-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOK

Sarpsborg 08 1-7 HamKam — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarpsborg 08
1-7
AWAY HamKam
1.53 xG 2.14
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
10 Corners 2
454 Passes 203
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
34 Box Touches 26
43 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sarpsborg 08 vs HamKam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HamKam cruised past Sarpsborg 08 7-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-5. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sarpsborg 08 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Sarpsborg 08 had 65% of the ball to HamKam's 35%, shots finished 20-15, expected goals 1.53 to 2.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, HamKam led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sarpsborg 08 and 1.50 for HamKam.

What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 vs HamKam?

Sarpsborg 08 1-7 HamKam in the Norway - Eliteserien on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 vs HamKam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sarpsborg 08 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 49%, draw 23%, HamKam 28%. The final score 1-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sarpsborg 08) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sarpsborg 08) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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