Brann 2-1 Sandefjord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.3
Draw
24%
4.95
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.61
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.87
2-3 Goals
38%
2.05
4-5 Goals
29%
2.59
6+ Goals
13%
5.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.49
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
21.85
X/1
25%
3.58
X/2
5%
19.15
X/X
11%
8.66
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.55
2/2
7%
13.7
2/X
8%
21.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.55 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
72%
-15.8pp
24%
Draw
17%
+6.9pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.3pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brann EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
2.21/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/2.09
-16% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -14%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
438 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
43.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
22.7 Crosses 15.4
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brann
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Sandefjord
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.54 xG 1.27
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
385 Passes 297
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
41 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Sandefjord Sandefjord 1-1 HT 0-0 Brann Brann NOR
08.05.2023 Brann Brann 0-0 HT 0-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
19.03.2023 Brann Brann 3-0 HT 3-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOK
21.11.2021 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-2 HT 2-1 Brann Brann NOR
15.08.2021 Brann Brann 3-2 HT 1-2 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
01.11.2020 Sandefjord Sandefjord 3-3 HT 1-0 Brann Brann NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brann
2-1
AWAY Sandefjord
2.55 xG 1.58
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
502 Passes 253
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
38 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brann vs Sandefjord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brann edged past Sandefjord 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Brann as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Brann had 63% of the ball to Sandefjord's 37%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 2.55 to 1.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brann had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Brann and 1.33 for Sandefjord.

What was the final score of Brann vs Sandefjord?

Brann 2-1 Sandefjord in the Norway - Eliteserien on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brann vs Sandefjord?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brann win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Brann 56%, draw 24%, Sandefjord 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brann), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brann) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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