Pogon Siedlce 1-1 Gornik Leczna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
42%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.21
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.66
6+ Goals
15%
15.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-4.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+2.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.3pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Siedlce EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Leczna EU Bookmakers 43%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.36/2.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.77
+4% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +43%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pogon Siedlce
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Gornik Leczna
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
28.02.2023 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 0-1 HT 0-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POLK
11.07.2020 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 2-3 HT 1-0 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL2
20.10.2019 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 3-4 HT 2-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL2
08.07.2017 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 1-2 HT 1-1 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Siedlce
1-1
AWAY Gornik Leczna
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pogon Siedlce vs Gornik Leczna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Siedlce and Gornik Leczna shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gornik Leczna at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Pogon Siedlce had 45% of the ball to Gornik Leczna's 55%, shots finished 12-18.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Pogon Siedlce and 2.00 for Gornik Leczna.

What was the final score of Pogon Siedlce vs Gornik Leczna?

Pogon Siedlce 1-1 Gornik Leczna in the Poland - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Siedlce vs Gornik Leczna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gornik Leczna win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pogon Siedlce 30%, draw 28%, Gornik Leczna 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gornik Leczna) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gornik Leczna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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