Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
1-0
HT 0-0
Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
RUS1
0-1
HT 0-0
Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
RUK
1-0
HT 0-0
Tyumen
RUS1
1-1
HT 0-0
Tyumen
RUS1
Tyumen ran out comfortable winners over Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 4-1 in the Russia - FNL on 26 Oct 2024. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 41% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Tyumen had 42% of the ball to Yenisey Krasnoyarsk's 58%, shots finished 10-15.
Across their last 4 meetings in our records, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk lead the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tyumen and 0.75 for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk.
What was the final score of Tyumen vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk?
Tyumen 4-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk in the Russia - FNL on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tyumen vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk?
Before kick-off our model rated an Yenisey Krasnoyarsk win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tyumen 31%, draw 29%, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 39%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.