Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
0-1
HT 0-0
Ural
RUS
Baltika Kaliningrad edged past Ural 2-1 in the Russia - FNL on 26 Oct 2024. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams scoring was against the odds at 38%.
On the day, Baltika Kaliningrad had 50% of the ball to Ural's 50%, shots finished 10-7.
Across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ural lead the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Baltika Kaliningrad and 1.50 for Ural.
What was the final score of Baltika Kaliningrad vs Ural?
Baltika Kaliningrad 2-1 Ural in the Russia - FNL on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Baltika Kaliningrad vs Ural?
Before kick-off our model rated a Baltika Kaliningrad win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Baltika Kaliningrad 43%, draw 30%, Ural 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.