Ural 2-1 Baltika Kaliningrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 6 May 2024

Ural
2-1 HT 1-1
Baltika Kaliningrad
📅06/05/2024 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2023/2024

Ural vs Baltika Kaliningrad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.22
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
5.57
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.52
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
12%
14.25
X/1
11%
4.72
X/2
12%
5.99
X/X
14%
3.53
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
11%
4.9
2/X
6%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.1pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.8pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.4pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ural v Baltika Kaliningrad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ural EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 33%
-9% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.27/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.93
-34% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
321 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
22.9 Crosses 18.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Ural vs Baltika Kaliningrad Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ural
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.75 xG 1.68
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
266 Passes 344
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.08.2023 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 0-1 HT 0-0 Ural Ural RUS

Ural 2-1 Baltika Kaliningrad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ural
2-1
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
1.76 xG 1.09
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 9
306 Passes 222
73% Pass Accuracy 69%
38 Box Touches 25
26 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ural vs Baltika Kaliningrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ural edged past Baltika Kaliningrad 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Ural found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ural had 56% of the ball to Baltika Kaliningrad's 44%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.76 to 1.09.

What was the final score of Ural vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

Ural 2-1 Baltika Kaliningrad in the Russia - Premier League on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ural vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ural win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ural 36%, draw 31%, Baltika Kaliningrad 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ural) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ural) ✗ Under 2.5
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