Zilina 2-2 Podbrezova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.92
6+ Goals
12%
8.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-8.5pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.3pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zilina EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Podbrezova EU Bookmakers 17%
+10% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
1.76/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.92
+56% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -30%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
439 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
16.6 Crosses 12.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zilina
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Podbrezova
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.58 xG 1.41
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
290 Passes 322
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
27.07.2024 Podbrezova Podbrezova 0-0 HT 0-0 Zilina Zilina SLVK
09.03.2024 Zilina Zilina 3-2 HT 3-0 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
05.11.2023 Zilina Zilina 2-1 HT 2-0 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
06.08.2023 Podbrezova Podbrezova 2-0 HT 0-0 Zilina Zilina SLVK
05.05.2023 Zilina Zilina 0-1 HT 0-1 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
07.04.2023 Podbrezova Podbrezova 3-2 HT 1-2 Zilina Zilina SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zilina
2-2
AWAY Podbrezova
2.02 xG 1.93
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
427 Passes 172
84% Pass Accuracy 64%
22 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zilina vs Podbrezova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zilina and Podbrezova shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Zilina at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Zilina had 67% of the ball to Podbrezova's 33%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 2.02 to 1.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Podbrezova led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Zilina and 1.50 for Podbrezova.

What was the final score of Zilina vs Podbrezova?

Zilina 2-2 Podbrezova in the Slovakia Super League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zilina vs Podbrezova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zilina win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Zilina 57%, draw 20%, Podbrezova 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Zilina), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zilina) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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