Al Hilal Riyadh 2-0 Al Taawon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.28
Draw
25%
5.15
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.51
Over 2.5
51%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
5.45
2-3 Goals
41%
2.01
4-5 Goals
23%
2.66
6+ Goals
11%
6.47
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.45 — our 25% vs market 13.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
73%
-16.5pp
25%
Draw
16%
+8.6pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
36%
+13.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
64%
-13.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Taawon EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +15%
2.52/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.82
+13% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +46%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
460 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 75%
39.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
25.5 Crosses 14.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Taawon
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.34 xG 0.97
59% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
466 Passes 312
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
42 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.05.2024 Al Taawon Al Taawon 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
11.12.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SAKK
10.11.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
10.03.2023 Al Taawon Al Taawon 0-4 HT 0-2 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
02.10.2022 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
15.01.2022 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 3-2 HT 2-2 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
2-0
AWAY Al Taawon
2.03 xG 0.30
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
430 Passes 343
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Taawon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh beat Al Taawon 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Al Hilal Riyadh had 54% of the ball to Al Taawon's 46%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 2.03 to 0.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Al Hilal Riyadh and 0.67 for Al Taawon.

What was the final score of Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Taawon?

Al Hilal Riyadh 2-0 Al Taawon in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Taawon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal Riyadh 57%, draw 25%, Al Taawon 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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