Al Raed 2-1 Al Fateh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 26 Oct 2024

Al Raed
2-1 HT 1-0
Al Fateh
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒18:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2024/2025

Al Raed vs Al Fateh Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.3
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.58
6+ Goals
8%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 28% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.5pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Raed v Al Fateh — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Raed EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.28/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.45
+12% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
16.2 Crosses 17.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Al Raed vs Al Fateh Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Raed
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Al Fateh
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.40 xG 1.22
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
280 Passes 411
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.04.2024 Al Fateh Al Fateh 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
27.10.2023 Al Raed Al Raed 1-2 HT 0-2 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
10.04.2023 Al Raed Al Raed 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
15.10.2022 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
08.01.2022 Al Fateh Al Fateh 2-3 HT 0-1 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
12.08.2021 Al Raed Al Raed 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD

Al Raed 2-1 Al Fateh — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Raed
2-1
AWAY Al Fateh
2.70 xG 0.94
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 10
289 Passes 300
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 32
9 Crosses 26
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Raed vs Al Fateh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Raed nicked a narrow win over Al Fateh 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Al Raed found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Raed had 49% of the ball to Al Fateh's 51%, shots finished 11-23, expected goals 2.70 to 0.94 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Raed's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Fateh led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Raed and 1.83 for Al Fateh.

What was the final score of Al Raed vs Al Fateh?

Al Raed 2-1 Al Fateh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Raed vs Al Fateh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Raed win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Raed 38%, draw 28%, Al Fateh 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Raed) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Raed) ✗ Under 2.5
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