Al Fateh 3-1 Al Raed — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 18 Apr 2024

📅18/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.28
6+ Goals
11%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.0pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Raed EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.57/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.27
-1% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
328 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 79%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
20.7 Crosses 20.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fateh
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Raed
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.17 xG 1.71
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
371 Passes 263
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2023 Al Raed Al Raed 1-2 HT 0-2 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
10.04.2023 Al Raed Al Raed 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
15.10.2022 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
08.01.2022 Al Fateh Al Fateh 2-3 HT 0-1 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
12.08.2021 Al Raed Al Raed 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
30.05.2021 Al Raed Al Raed 2-2 HT 2-1 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fateh
3-1
AWAY Al Raed
1.88 xG 0.73
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
591 Passes 299
91% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Fateh vs Al Raed
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fateh beat Al Raed 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Fateh as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Al Fateh had 63% of the ball to Al Raed's 37%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.88 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Fateh had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Fateh and 1.17 for Al Raed.

What was the final score of Al Fateh vs Al Raed?

Al Fateh 3-1 Al Raed in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fateh vs Al Raed?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Fateh win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Fateh 41%, draw 28%, Al Raed 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Fateh), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Fateh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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