Al Taawon 1-1 Al Khaleej — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 18 Apr 2024

📅18/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.18
2-3 Goals
43%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
3.03
6+ Goals
10%
9.43
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.18 — our 25% vs market 18.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.6pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.5pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Taawon EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 25%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.43/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.41
+12% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +23%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
357 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
19.0 Crosses 14.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Taawon
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Al Khaleej
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.63 xG 0.71
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
437 Passes 227
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2023 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
15.05.2023 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
06.01.2023 Al Taawon Al Taawon 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
20.04.2017 Al Taawon Al Taawon 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
29.10.2015 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
20.12.2014 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Taawon
1-1
AWAY Al Khaleej
1.06 xG 0.64
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
381 Passes 383
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Taawon vs Al Khaleej
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Taawon and Al Khaleej shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Al Taawon at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al Taawon had 50% of the ball to Al Khaleej's 50%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.06 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Taawon had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Taawon and 0.50 for Al Khaleej.

What was the final score of Al Taawon vs Al Khaleej?

Al Taawon 1-1 Al Khaleej in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Taawon vs Al Khaleej?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Taawon win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Al Taawon 51%, draw 22%, Al Khaleej 27%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Taawon) ✗ Over 2.5
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