Al Shabab Riyadh 5-0 Abha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 18 Apr 2024

📅18/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.47
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
26%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.38
Over 2.5
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.96
2-3 Goals
35%
1.95
4-5 Goals
28%
2.77
6+ Goals
13%
7.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-8.7pp
19%
Draw
20%
-0.8pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Abha EU Bookmakers 19%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -24%
1.64/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.68
-1% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
411 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 79%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
18.8 Crosses 18.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Abha
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.52 xG 0.76
57% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
422 Passes 293
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Abha Abha 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
14.02.2023 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 2-0 HT 1-0 Abha Abha SUUD
01.09.2022 Abha Abha 0-4 HT 0-3 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
08.01.2022 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 1-1 HT 0-1 Abha Abha SUUD
12.08.2021 Abha Abha 2-1 HT 2-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
30.01.2021 Abha Abha 2-3 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
5-0
AWAY Abha
3.56 xG 0.80
68% Ball Possession 32%
21 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
528 Passes 207
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
42 Box Touches 10
9 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Riyadh vs Abha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab Riyadh cruised past Abha 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Shabab Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Al Shabab Riyadh had 68% of the ball to Abha's 32%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 3.56 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Shabab Riyadh had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Shabab Riyadh and 1.17 for Abha.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Riyadh vs Abha?

Al Shabab Riyadh 5-0 Abha in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Riyadh vs Abha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shabab Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Riyadh 55%, draw 19%, Abha 26%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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