Arlanda 4-1 Vasalund IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
51%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
15%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
25%
-2.3pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.1pp
51%
Away Win
52%
-0.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.7pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arlanda EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasalund IF EU Bookmakers 56%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -19%
0.66/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.89
-51% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -40%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arlanda
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Vasalund IF
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 0-0 HT 0-0 Arlanda Arlanda İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arlanda
4-1
AWAY Vasalund IF
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 31
6 Shots on Target 17
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arlanda vs Vasalund IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arlanda cruised past Vasalund IF 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Vasalund IF at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Arlanda had 44% of the ball to Vasalund IF's 56%, shots finished 11-31.

What was the final score of Arlanda vs Vasalund IF?

Arlanda 4-1 Vasalund IF in the Sweden - 1st Division on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arlanda vs Vasalund IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vasalund IF win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Arlanda 23%, draw 26%, Vasalund IF 51%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vasalund IF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vasalund IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ3 More Sweden - 1st Division
26 Oct 2025
15:00 Gefle vs Hammarby Talang Analysis →
18:00 Angelholm vs Eskilsminne Analysis →
18:00 Norrby IF vs IFK Skövde Analysis →
18:00 Haninge vs Team TG FF Analysis →