Gefle 2-4 Hammarby Talang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
49%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.73
No
38%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+3.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
49%
Away Win
53%
-4.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.2pp
62%
BTTS Yes
54%
+8.2pp
38%
BTTS No
46%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gefle EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammarby Talang EU Bookmakers 57%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
0.88/2.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.87
-30% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +37%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gefle
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Hammarby Talang
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang 2-0 HT 1-0 Gefle Gefle İSÇ3
01.10.2022 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang 3-3 HT 2-1 Gefle Gefle İSÇ3
02.04.2022 Gefle Gefle 1-0 HT 1-0 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang İSÇ3
09.10.2021 Gefle Gefle 2-2 HT 0-2 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang İSÇ3
09.05.2021 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang 1-3 HT 0-0 Gefle Gefle İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gefle
2-4
AWAY Hammarby Talang
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gefle vs Hammarby Talang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby Talang saw off Gefle 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hammarby Talang as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Gefle had 40% of the ball to Hammarby Talang's 60%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gefle had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Gefle and 1.60 for Hammarby Talang.

What was the final score of Gefle vs Hammarby Talang?

Gefle 2-4 Hammarby Talang in the Sweden - 1st Division on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gefle vs Hammarby Talang?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hammarby Talang win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Gefle 26%, draw 25%, Hammarby Talang 49%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hammarby Talang), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hammarby Talang) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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