Eldense 1-1 Real Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.06
No
48%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.3pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.2pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.4pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eldense EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 32%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +9%
1.40/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.97
+10% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eldense
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Real Murcia
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.08.2025 Real Murcia Real Murcia 3-1 HT 2-0 Eldense Eldense HAZ
14.01.2023 Eldense Eldense 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
03.04.2022 Eldense Eldense 1-3 HT 1-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS4
14.11.2021 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-2 HT 1-0 Eldense Eldense İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eldense
1-1
AWAY Real Murcia
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eldense vs Real Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eldense and Real Murcia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Eldense at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Eldense had 65% of the ball to Real Murcia's 35%, shots finished 18-5.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Eldense and 1.75 for Real Murcia.

What was the final score of Eldense vs Real Murcia?

Eldense 1-1 Real Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eldense vs Real Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eldense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Eldense 41%, draw 31%, Real Murcia 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Eldense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eldense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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