Real Murcia 3-1 Eldense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 6 Aug 2025

Real Murcia
3-1 HT 2-0
Eldense
📅06/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2025/2026

Real Murcia vs Eldense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.61
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
4.04
6+ Goals
7%
19.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.61 — our 39% vs market 30.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.4pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Murcia v Eldense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Eldense EU Bookmakers 37%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.34/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-14% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
371 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Real Murcia vs Eldense Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Murcia
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Eldense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
14.01.2023 Eldense Eldense 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
03.04.2022 Eldense Eldense 1-3 HT 1-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS4
14.11.2021 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-2 HT 1-0 Eldense Eldense İS4

Real Murcia 3-1 Eldense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Murcia
3-1
AWAY Eldense
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Murcia vs Eldense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Murcia got the better of Eldense 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Murcia as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Murcia had 55% of the ball to Eldense's 45%, shots finished 9-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Eldense led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Murcia and 1.33 for Eldense.

What was the final score of Real Murcia vs Eldense?

Real Murcia 3-1 Eldense in the Friendlies on 06/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Murcia vs Eldense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Real Murcia 41%, draw 27%, Eldense 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Murcia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Murcia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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