Sporting Gijon 3-2 Cultural Leonesa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 6 Aug 2025

📅06/08/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.78
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
3.78
6+ Goals
10%
16.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.08
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
14%
4.87
X/2
10%
6.7
X/X
9%
4.33
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
12%
5.04
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.8
Value flag · 2/X at 13.8 — our 11% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
+0.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Cultural Leonesa EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Gijon
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Cultural Leonesa
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
382 Passes 432
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.03.2018 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 4-0 HT 1-0 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS2
10.10.2017 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 0-2 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Gijon
3-2
AWAY Cultural Leonesa
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Gijon vs Cultural Leonesa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Gijon squeezed past Cultural Leonesa 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting Gijon as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting Gijon had 44% of the ball to Cultural Leonesa's 56%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sporting Gijon had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Sporting Gijon and 0.00 for Cultural Leonesa.

What was the final score of Sporting Gijon vs Cultural Leonesa?

Sporting Gijon 3-2 Cultural Leonesa in the Friendlies on 06/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Gijon vs Cultural Leonesa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Gijon win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sporting Gijon 43%, draw 29%, Cultural Leonesa 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Gijon), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Gijon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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