Lille 3-0 Venezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 6 Aug 2025

Lille
3-0 HT 2-0
Venezia
📅06/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2025/2026

Lille vs Venezia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.51
2-3 Goals
36%
1.93
4-5 Goals
29%
2.96
6+ Goals
12%
8.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.98
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.75
X/1 EV+ ✗
26%
4.23
X/2
6%
10.6
X/X
9%
6.2
2/1
9%
20.3
2/2
12%
8.03
2/X
4%
16.35
Value flag · X/1 at 4.23 — our 26% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
59%
-2.0pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.0pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+4.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.3pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lille v Venezia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lille EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Venezia EU Bookmakers 22%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +70% / +70%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/1.00
+50% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +71%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Lille 3-0 Venezia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lille
3-0
AWAY Venezia
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lille vs Venezia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lille swept aside Venezia 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lille as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Lille had 55% of the ball to Venezia's 45%, shots finished 14-7.

What was the final score of Lille vs Venezia?

Lille 3-0 Venezia in the Friendlies on 06/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lille vs Venezia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lille win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Lille 57%, draw 20%, Venezia 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lille), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lille) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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