Athletic Carpi 3-1 Lentigione — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 6 Aug 2025

📅06/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.91
Over 2.5
60%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.82
No
39%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-7.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
48%
-8.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
52%
+8.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
51%
+9.8pp
39%
BTTS No
49%
-9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Carpi EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Lentigione EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
408 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Carpi
3-1
AWAY Lentigione
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Athletic Carpi vs Lentigione
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Carpi got the better of Lentigione 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Athletic Carpi as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Athletic Carpi had 50% of the ball to Lentigione's 50%, shots finished 8-12.

What was the final score of Athletic Carpi vs Lentigione?

Athletic Carpi 3-1 Lentigione in the Friendlies on 06/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Carpi vs Lentigione?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Carpi win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Athletic Carpi 47%, draw 25%, Lentigione 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Carpi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Carpi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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