Pontedera 1-0 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 6 Aug 2025

📅06/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.28
Draw
18%
5.15
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.13
No
47%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
74%
-9.8pp
18%
Draw
16%
+1.6pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
43%
+10.2pp
47%
BTTS No
57%
-10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontedera EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano EU Bookmakers 12%
-90% / -90% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontedera
1-0
AWAY Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Pontedera vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontedera edged past Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pontedera as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pontedera had 49% of the ball to Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano's 51%, shots finished 9-7.

What was the final score of Pontedera vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano?

Pontedera 1-0 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano in the Friendlies on 06/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontedera vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontedera win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Pontedera 64%, draw 18%, Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontedera) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pontedera) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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