Barbastro 1-1 Atletic Lleida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+2.7pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.8pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.1pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barbastro EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletic Lleida EU Bookmakers 31%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
1.41/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.50
+8% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barbastro
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Atletic Lleida
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
30% Ball Possession 70%
2 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2025 Barbastro Barbastro 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletic Lleida Atletic Lleida HAZ
POST-MATCH Barbastro vs Atletic Lleida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barbastro and Atletic Lleida couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Barbastro at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

What was the final score of Barbastro vs Atletic Lleida?

Barbastro 1-1 Atletic Lleida in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barbastro vs Atletic Lleida?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barbastro win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Barbastro 47%, draw 25%, Atletic Lleida 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Barbastro), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barbastro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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