Burgos Promesas 2000 2-2 Lealtad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burgos Promesas 2000 EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Lealtad EU Bookmakers 31%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
0.84/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-36% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -39%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burgos Promesas 2000
2-2
AWAY Lealtad
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Burgos Promesas 2000 vs Lealtad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burgos Promesas 2000 and Lealtad shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Burgos Promesas 2000 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Burgos Promesas 2000 had 60% of the ball to Lealtad's 40%, shots finished 9-5.

What was the final score of Burgos Promesas 2000 vs Lealtad?

Burgos Promesas 2000 2-2 Lealtad in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burgos Promesas 2000 vs Lealtad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burgos Promesas 2000 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Burgos Promesas 2000 44%, draw 29%, Lealtad 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Burgos Promesas 2000) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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