Sestao River 1-0 Ebro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.29
No
54%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
53%
+1.4pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.6pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.9pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sestao River EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ebro EU Bookmakers 22%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -18%
1.65/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.17
+5% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
240 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sestao River
1-0
AWAY Ebro
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sestao River vs Ebro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sestao River nicked a narrow win over Ebro 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sestao River as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sestao River had 56% of the ball to Ebro's 44%, shots finished 10-8.

What was the final score of Sestao River vs Ebro?

Sestao River 1-0 Ebro in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sestao River vs Ebro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sestao River win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sestao River 55%, draw 23%, Ebro 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sestao River), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sestao River) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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