Lommel United vs Beerschot VA Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lommel United v Beerschot VA — Team-Based Signals
Lommel United vs Beerschot VA Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Lommel United
BEL2
1-3
HT 1-1
Beerschot VA
BEL2
0-2
HT 0-1
Lommel United
BEL2
2-1
HT 0-0
Lommel United
BEL2
1-0
HT 1-0
Beerschot VA
BEL2
Lommel United 1-2 Beerschot VA — Actual Match Statistics
Beerschot VA squeezed past Lommel United 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Beerschot VA as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Lommel United had 42% of the ball to Beerschot VA's 58%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 0.80 to 2.02 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Beerschot VA's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lommel United and 1.17 for Beerschot VA.
What was the final score of Lommel United vs Beerschot VA?
Lommel United 1-2 Beerschot VA in the Belgium - 1st Division on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lommel United vs Beerschot VA?
Before kick-off our model rated an Beerschot VA win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lommel United 30%, draw 25%, Beerschot VA 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beerschot VA), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.