FC Fredericia 0-4 Midtjylland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 26 Oct 2025

FC Fredericia
0-4 HT 0-2
Midtjylland
📅26/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Denmark - Süperlig – 2025/2026

FC Fredericia vs Midtjylland Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.91
Draw
18%
4.95
Away
65%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.96
Over 2.5
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
7.03
2-3 Goals
40%
2.24
4-5 Goals
27%
2.5
6+ Goals
11%
4.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
12.2
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
18.25
1/X
4%
20.35
X/1
8%
16.6
X/2
16%
4.16
X/X
9%
8.86
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
37%
1.54
2/X
6%
17.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 18.25 — our 11% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
13%
+3.4pp
18%
Draw
17%
+1.8pp
65%
Away Win
70%
-5.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.0pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Fredericia v Midtjylland — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Fredericia EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 75%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
1.02/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/1.12
-45% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -10%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 83%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.6
12.0 Crosses 20.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2

FC Fredericia vs Midtjylland Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Fredericia
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Midtjylland
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 4.67
1.59 xG 1.54
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 23
6 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 6
395 Passes 478
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
46 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.08.2025 Midtjylland Midtjylland 3-3 HT 2-1 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN
30.01.2024 Midtjylland Midtjylland 7-0 HT 4-0 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia HAZ
19.01.2019 Midtjylland Midtjylland 4-1 HT 2-1 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia HAZ

FC Fredericia 0-4 Midtjylland — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Fredericia
0-4
AWAY Midtjylland
0.81 xG 2.14
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 12
7 Corners 5
191 Passes 477
71% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 34
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Fredericia vs Midtjylland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Midtjylland ran out comfortable winners over FC Fredericia 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Midtjylland as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, FC Fredericia had 33% of the ball to Midtjylland's 67%, shots finished 10-21, expected goals 0.81 to 2.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Midtjylland led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Fredericia and 4.67 for Midtjylland.

What was the final score of FC Fredericia vs Midtjylland?

FC Fredericia 0-4 Midtjylland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Fredericia vs Midtjylland?

Before kick-off our model rated an Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split FC Fredericia 17%, draw 18%, Midtjylland 65%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Midtjylland), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAN More Denmark - Süperlig
26 Oct 2025
16:00 Vejle vs Silkeborg IF Analysis →
18:00 Randers FC vs SonderjyskE Analysis →
20:00 Kopenhag vs Viborg Analysis →