Diala 0-3 Al Minaa Basra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.5pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.3pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diala EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Minaa Basra EU Bookmakers 34%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.50/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.24
+37% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diala
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Minaa Basra
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
02.07.2025 Al Minaa Basra Al Minaa Basra 3-0 HT 1-0 Diala Diala IRAK
POST-MATCH Diala vs Al Minaa Basra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Minaa Basra swept aside Diala 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Diala at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Diala vs Al Minaa Basra?

Diala 0-3 Al Minaa Basra in the Iraq - Premier League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diala vs Al Minaa Basra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diala win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Diala 41%, draw 27%, Al Minaa Basra 32%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Diala), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Diala) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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