Naft 3-0 Baghdad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 26 Oct 2025

Naft
3-0 HT 1-0
Baghdad
📅26/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2025/2026

Naft vs Baghdad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.7pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.0pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Naft v Baghdad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Baghdad EU Bookmakers 32%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
0.00/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-100% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Naft vs Baghdad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft cruised past Baghdad 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Naft as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Naft vs Baghdad?

Naft 3-0 Baghdad in the Iraq - Premier League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft vs Baghdad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naft win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Naft 42%, draw 25%, Baghdad 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naft), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naft) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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