Nafta 4-1 Bilje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 26 Oct 2025

Nafta
4-1 HT 2-0
Bilje
📅26/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
69%
-5.3pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.6pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+4.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.2pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nafta EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Bilje EU Bookmakers 15%
-9% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +10%
2.37/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/2.05
+9% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nafta
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Bilje
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.04.2024 Bilje 0-2 HT 0-0 Nafta Nafta SLVN2
30.09.2023 Nafta Nafta 3-1 HT 2-0 Bilje SLVN2
04.11.2022 Nafta Nafta 2-2 HT 2-2 Bilje SLVN2
25.03.2022 Nafta Nafta 4-1 HT 2-1 Bilje SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nafta
4-1
AWAY Bilje
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nafta vs Bilje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nafta ran out comfortable winners over Bilje 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nafta as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Nafta had 55% of the ball to Bilje's 45%, shots finished 12-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nafta had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Nafta and 1.00 for Bilje.

What was the final score of Nafta vs Bilje?

Nafta 4-1 Bilje in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nafta vs Bilje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nafta win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Nafta 63%, draw 20%, Bilje 17%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nafta), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nafta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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