Elazığspor 1-2 GMG Kastamonuspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.03
No
45%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-7.3pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.3pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+3.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
45%
+9.9pp
45%
BTTS No
55%
-9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elazığspor EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor EU Bookmakers 18%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
2.25/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.21
+25% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +35%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elazığspor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
20.10.2020 Elazığspor Elazığspor 3-2 HT 0-1 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor T2L-K
POST-MATCH Elazığspor vs GMG Kastamonuspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GMG Kastamonuspor nicked a narrow win over Elazığspor 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Elazığspor at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Elazığspor vs GMG Kastamonuspor?

Elazığspor 1-2 GMG Kastamonuspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elazığspor vs GMG Kastamonuspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elazığspor win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Elazığspor 55%, draw 26%, GMG Kastamonuspor 18%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Elazığspor), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elazığspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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