Somaspor 1-3 Arnavutköy Belediye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.65
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
55%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+4.8pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.1pp
55%
Away Win
58%
-3.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.7pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Somaspor EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Arnavutköy Belediye EU Bookmakers 62%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
0.89/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.03/0.98
+9% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -25%
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
174 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Somaspor
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Arnavutköy Belediye
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 Somaspor Somaspor 3-2 HT 3-0 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye T2L-K
30.11.2024 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye 0-1 HT 0-0 Somaspor Somaspor T2L-K
03.09.2023 Somaspor Somaspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye S2-K
19.04.2023 Somaspor Somaspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye S2-B
13.11.2022 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye 0-2 HT 0-1 Somaspor Somaspor S2-B
POST-MATCH Somaspor vs Arnavutköy Belediye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arnavutköy Belediye beat Somaspor 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arnavutköy Belediye as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Somaspor had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Somaspor and 0.40 for Arnavutköy Belediye.

What was the final score of Somaspor vs Arnavutköy Belediye?

Somaspor 1-3 Arnavutköy Belediye in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Somaspor vs Arnavutköy Belediye?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arnavutköy Belediye win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Somaspor 23%, draw 22%, Arnavutköy Belediye 55%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arnavutköy Belediye), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arnavutköy Belediye) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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