Somaspor 3-2 Arnavutköy Belediye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
40%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
40%
-8.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
40%
Away Win
31%
+8.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Somaspor EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Arnavutköy Belediye EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.64/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.24
+40% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
357 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Somaspor
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Arnavutköy Belediye
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye 0-1 HT 0-0 Somaspor Somaspor T2L-K
03.09.2023 Somaspor Somaspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye S2-K
19.04.2023 Somaspor Somaspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye S2-B
13.11.2022 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye 0-2 HT 0-1 Somaspor Somaspor S2-B
POST-MATCH Somaspor vs Arnavutköy Belediye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Somaspor nicked a narrow win over Arnavutköy Belediye 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Somaspor made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Somaspor had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Somaspor and 0.00 for Arnavutköy Belediye.

What was the final score of Somaspor vs Arnavutköy Belediye?

Somaspor 3-2 Arnavutköy Belediye in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Somaspor vs Arnavutköy Belediye?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arnavutköy Belediye win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Somaspor 32%, draw 27%, Arnavutköy Belediye 40%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arnavutköy Belediye) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arnavutköy Belediye) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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