Ankara Demirspor 4-2 Erbaaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.0pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.3pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ankara Demirspor EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Erbaaspor EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.66/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.58
+10% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ankara Demirspor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Erbaaspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
30.11.2024 Erbaaspor Erbaaspor 2-1 HT 0-1 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ankara Demirspor
4-2
AWAY Erbaaspor
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 14
13 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ankara Demirspor vs Erbaaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ankara Demirspor beat Erbaaspor 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ankara Demirspor as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ankara Demirspor had 56% of the ball to Erbaaspor's 44%, shots finished 22-14.

What was the final score of Ankara Demirspor vs Erbaaspor?

Ankara Demirspor 4-2 Erbaaspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ankara Demirspor vs Erbaaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ankara Demirspor win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ankara Demirspor 48%, draw 25%, Erbaaspor 27%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ankara Demirspor), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ankara Demirspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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