Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-0 Van Spor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.08
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+5.8pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.9pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-1.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.9pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Van Spor FK EU Bookmakers 49%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.16/2.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.82
+11% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Van Spor FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
30.11.2024 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK 2-0 HT 0-0 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor T2L-K
24.03.2024 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 2-2 HT 1-1 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK S2-B
12.11.2023 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK 1-1 HT 1-0 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor S2-B
09.10.2022 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 2-0 HT 1-0 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK S2-K
21.10.2020 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 0-1 HT 0-0 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor
1-0
AWAY Van Spor FK
31% Ball Possession 69%
4 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Van Spor FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karacabey Belediye Spor squeezed past Van Spor FK 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Van Spor FK at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Karacabey Belediye Spor had 31% of the ball to Van Spor FK's 69%, shots finished 4-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Van Spor FK led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Karacabey Belediye Spor and 1.20 for Van Spor FK.

What was the final score of Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Van Spor FK?

Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-0 Van Spor FK in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Van Spor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Van Spor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Karacabey Belediye Spor 34%, draw 22%, Van Spor FK 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Van Spor FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Van Spor FK) ✓ BTTS No
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