Chertsey Town 1-2 Merthyr Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 26 Nov 2024

Chertsey Town
1-2 HT 0-1
Merthyr Town
📅26/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
England - Non League Premier – 2024/2025

Chertsey Town vs Merthyr Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.61
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.39
No
38%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.2pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.8pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.2pp
62%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.9pp
38%
BTTS No
32%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chertsey Town v Merthyr Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chertsey Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Merthyr Town EU Bookmakers 38%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +9%
2.48/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.16
+60% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
337 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Chertsey Town 1-2 Merthyr Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chertsey Town
1-2
AWAY Merthyr Town
52% Ball Possession 48%
27 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chertsey Town vs Merthyr Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Merthyr Town squeezed past Chertsey Town 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Merthyr Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Chertsey Town had 52% of the ball to Merthyr Town's 48%, shots finished 27-7.

What was the final score of Chertsey Town vs Merthyr Town?

Chertsey Town 1-2 Merthyr Town in the England - Non League Premier on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chertsey Town vs Merthyr Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chertsey Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Chertsey Town 38%, draw 29%, Merthyr Town 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chertsey Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chertsey Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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