Workington 2-0 Basford United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.1
Over 2.5
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-2.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+2.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.6pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Workington EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Basford United EU Bookmakers 39%
+15% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +1%
1.93/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.31
+24% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
291 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Workington
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Basford United
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
18.11.2023 Basford United Basford United 0-3 HT 0-1 Workington Workington İNGNLP
09.09.2023 Workington Workington 5-3 HT 2-0 Basford United Basford United İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Workington vs Basford United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Workington got the better of Basford United 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Workington made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Workington had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Workington and 1.50 for Basford United.

What was the final score of Workington vs Basford United?

Workington 2-0 Basford United in the England - Non League Premier on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Workington vs Basford United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Basford United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Workington 36%, draw 26%, Basford United 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Basford United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Basford United) ✓ Under 2.5
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