Oriente Petrolero 1-3 Santa Cruz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 26 Nov 2024

Oriente Petrolero
1-3 HT 0-1
Santa Cruz
📅26/11/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme – 2024

Oriente Petrolero vs Santa Cruz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-6.8pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.2pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Oriente Petrolero v Santa Cruz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oriente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Cruz EU Bookmakers 18%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +18%
1.47/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.39
-17% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 73%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
23.0 Crosses 12.1
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.3

Oriente Petrolero vs Santa Cruz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oriente Petrolero
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Santa Cruz
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.47 xG 1.07
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
260 Passes 156
72% Pass Accuracy 64%
26 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.07.2024 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 0-1 HT 0-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
19.08.2023 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 0-5 HT 0-3 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
11.05.2023 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 0-1 HT 0-1 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
06.10.2022 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 3-1 HT 1-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
14.05.2022 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 1-2 HT 1-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
02.04.2022 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 2-1 HT 0-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ

Oriente Petrolero 1-3 Santa Cruz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oriente Petrolero
1-3
AWAY Santa Cruz
1.21 xG 0.71
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
201 Passes 124
73% Pass Accuracy 64%
17 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Oriente Petrolero vs Santa Cruz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Cruz saw off Oriente Petrolero 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Oriente Petrolero carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Oriente Petrolero had 60% of the ball to Santa Cruz's 40%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 1.21 to 0.71 — on chances, Oriente Petrolero could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Oriente Petrolero and 1.00 for Santa Cruz.

What was the final score of Oriente Petrolero vs Santa Cruz?

Oriente Petrolero 1-3 Santa Cruz in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oriente Petrolero vs Santa Cruz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oriente Petrolero win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Oriente Petrolero 56%, draw 22%, Santa Cruz 22%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Oriente Petrolero) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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