Sparta Prag U19 1-2 Atletico Madrid U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.48
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
48%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.93
4-5 Goals
23%
2.9
6+ Goals
8%
8.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+5.9pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.7pp
48%
Away Win
58%
-10.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.3pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag U19 EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid U19 EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +6%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag U19
1-2
AWAY Atletico Madrid U19
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag U19 vs Atletico Madrid U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid U19 squeezed past Sparta Prag U19 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Madrid U19 as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sparta Prag U19 had 43% of the ball to Atletico Madrid U19's 57%, shots finished 11-20.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag U19 vs Atletico Madrid U19?

Sparta Prag U19 1-2 Atletico Madrid U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag U19 vs Atletico Madrid U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Madrid U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag U19 25%, draw 27%, Atletico Madrid U19 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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