Sporting CP U19 3-0 Arsenal U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.47
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.23
Over 2.5
63%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.65
2-3 Goals
39%
1.93
4-5 Goals
28%
2.91
6+ Goals
12%
8.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-8.9pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.4pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+9.2pp
37%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.7pp
63%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP U19 EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal U19 EU Bookmakers 19%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
2.05/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.01
+5% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -49%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
509 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 75%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.6 Crosses 11.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP U19
3-0
AWAY Arsenal U19
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sporting CP U19 vs Arsenal U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP U19 cruised past Arsenal U19 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting CP U19 as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sporting CP U19 had 43% of the ball to Arsenal U19's 57%, shots finished 8-9.

What was the final score of Sporting CP U19 vs Arsenal U19?

Sporting CP U19 3-0 Arsenal U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP U19 vs Arsenal U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP U19 55%, draw 20%, Arsenal U19 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP U19), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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