CA River Plate 1-0 Cerro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
40%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.2pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.0pp
40%
Away Win
30%
+10.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.3pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA River Plate EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.14/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.17
-6% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
274 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA River Plate
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cerro
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 Cerro Cerro 3-2 HT 0-2 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
06.03.2024 Cerro Cerro 1-1 HT 4-5 CA River Plate CA River Plate URUK
09.10.2023 Cerro Cerro 1-0 HT 1-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
25.02.2023 CA River Plate CA River Plate 3-2 HT 2-1 Cerro Cerro URU
20.01.2021 CA River Plate CA River Plate 1-2 HT 1-1 Cerro Cerro URU
22.02.2020 Cerro Cerro 0-0 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA River Plate
1-0
AWAY Cerro
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CA River Plate vs Cerro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA River Plate squeezed past Cerro 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; CA River Plate found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, CA River Plate had 49% of the ball to Cerro's 51%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CA River Plate and 1.50 for Cerro.

What was the final score of CA River Plate vs Cerro?

CA River Plate 1-0 Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA River Plate vs Cerro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split CA River Plate 35%, draw 25%, Cerro 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cerro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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URU More Uruguay - Premier League
26 Nov 2024
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