Rampla Juniors 0-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rampla Juniors EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
0.98/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.08
-18% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rampla Juniors
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.07.2024 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors 3-2 HT 2-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
25.05.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-2 HT 1-1 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU
17.10.2019 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0 HT 0-0 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU
25.08.2019 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors 1-2 HT 0-2 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
POST-MATCH Rampla Juniors vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) edged past Rampla Juniors 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Liverpool FC (Montevideo) made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rampla Juniors and 1.50 for Liverpool FC (Montevideo).

What was the final score of Rampla Juniors vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Rampla Juniors 0-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) in the Uruguay - Premier League on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rampla Juniors vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rampla Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rampla Juniors 38%, draw 28%, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rampla Juniors) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rampla Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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